Live prediction market odds for South Carolina Governor winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the South Carolina gubernatorial election set for November 2026. This election could influence state policies and party dynamics, making it a key focus for political analysts and voters alike.
Republican leads the “South Carolina Governor winner” event at 89.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Democrat (9.3%). A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key issues include economic development, education reform, and healthcare access. Candidates will likely address these topics to appeal to voters.
Results can affect party strength in the state and influence national party strategies. A shift in governorship may also impact local policy initiatives.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, polling data, and campaign funding. Additionally, voter turnout and key endorsements can significantly sway market perceptions.
South Carolina Governor winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican leads at 90% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democrat at 9%, Democrat at 9%.
Republican currently leads at 90% implied probability. Behind Republican, Democrat at 9% and Democrat at 9% are the next closest contenders. The 3.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Republican
89.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of South Carolina pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
