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Live prediction market odds for South Carolina Republican Senate nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

South Carolina Republican Senate nominee?

2026-06-09

About This Market

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Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the South Carolina Republican Senate nominee for the upcoming election. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies leading into the 2026 elections, particularly in a key battleground state.

Lindsey Graham leads the “South Carolina Republican Senate nominee” event at 85.8% implied probability, followed by Mark Lynch at 8.0%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Live Markets

3 platforms
LG
Lindsey GrahamARB
85% Avg
Kalshi87¢
Polymarket84¢
PredictIt87¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
86.0%85¢87¢13¢15¢
PolymarketPolymarket
83.0%82¢84¢16¢18¢
PredictItPredictIt
86.0%85¢87¢13¢15¢
ML
Mark LynchARB
7% Avg
Kalshi10¢
Polymarket7¢
PredictIt7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
9.0%8¢10¢90¢92¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.0%5¢7¢93¢95¢
PredictItPredictIt
6.0%5¢7¢93¢95¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the South Carolina Republican Senate nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts significantly impact the odds. Additionally, shifts in voter sentiment and national political trends can alter market perceptions.

How does the South Carolina Senate race affect national elections?

As a pivotal state, South Carolina's Senate race can influence national party strategies and voter turnout. Winning this seat is crucial for both parties in maintaining or gaining control of the Senate.

What is the timeline for the South Carolina Republican Senate nomination process?

The nomination process typically includes primaries and caucuses leading up to the general election. Candidates will campaign vigorously in the months leading to the June 2026 election date.

What is "South Carolina Republican Senate nominee?" and why does it matter?

South Carolina Republican Senate nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Lindsey Graham leads at 86% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mark Lynch at 8%.

What is moving the odds on "South Carolina Republican Senate nominee?"?

Lindsey Graham currently leads at 86% implied probability. Behind Lindsey Graham, Mark Lynch at 8% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread3.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Volume$51K
Leader

Lindsey Graham

85.8% avg

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?