Live prediction market odds for South Carolina Republican Senate nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
2026-06-09
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the South Carolina Republican Senate nominee for the upcoming election. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies leading into the 2026 elections, particularly in a key battleground state.
Lindsey Graham leads the “South Carolina Republican Senate nominee” event at 82.7% implied probability, followed by Mark Lynch at 12.6%. A 8.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts significantly impact the odds. Additionally, shifts in voter sentiment and national political trends can alter market perceptions.
As a pivotal state, South Carolina's Senate race can influence national party strategies and voter turnout. Winning this seat is crucial for both parties in maintaining or gaining control of the Senate.
The nomination process typically includes primaries and caucuses leading up to the general election. Candidates will campaign vigorously in the months leading to the June 2026 election date.
South Carolina Republican Senate nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Lindsey Graham leads at 83% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mark Lynch at 13%.
Lindsey Graham currently leads at 83% implied probability. Behind Lindsey Graham, Mark Lynch at 13% are the next closest contenders. The 8.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Lindsey Graham wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate South Carolina Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina. If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Lindsey Graham
82.7% avg
