Live prediction market odds for South Carolina Senate winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the South Carolina Senate winner for the upcoming 2026 election. This race is crucial as it could impact the balance of power in the Senate, with various factors influencing voter sentiment and candidate viability.
Republican is priced at 80.8% implied probability for the “South Carolina Senate winner” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can sway voter preferences.
The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing places it during a midterm election cycle, which often sees varying voter turnout.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective belief of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.
South Carolina Senate winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican leads at 81% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Republican currently leads at 81% implied probability. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Republican
80.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of South Carolina for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
