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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 99.0% // +$9900.00

Live prediction market odds for Sri Lanka vs Pakistan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Pakistan Wins: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan

Resolved 2026-02-28

This market resolved on 2026-02-28. Pakistan was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.

About This Market

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This market has resolved.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
PakistanWINNER
99%100%
Sri Lanka
1%100%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Sri Lanka vs Pakistan" and why did it matter?

Sri Lanka vs Pakistan was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pakistan led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sri Lanka at 51%.

What moved the odds on "Sri Lanka vs Pakistan"?

Pakistan held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Pakistan, Sri Lanka at 51% were the next closest contenders. The 99.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "Sri Lanka vs Pakistan" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pakistan: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Sri Lanka: 1¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. The 99.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 100% odds for Pakistan mean?

A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Pakistan would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
ESPNESPN cricinfoFox SportsICCThe Wall Street Journal
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread99.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2

Market Rulebook: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Pakistan is the winner of the Sri Lanka vs Pakistan professional Men's T20 World Cup Cricket match originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
ESPNESPN cricinfoFox SportsICCThe Wall Street Journal
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?
Winner

Pakistan

99.5% avg