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Live prediction market odds for Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Live prediction market odds for Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-19
This market resolved on 2026-02-19. Zimbabwe was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 63%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
ZimbabweWINNER | 99% | 27% |
Sri Lanka | 1% | 74% |
Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Zimbabwe led the market at 63% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sri Lanka at 37%.
Zimbabwe held the lead at 63% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Zimbabwe, Sri Lanka at 37% were the next closest contenders. The 72.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Zimbabwe: 99¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. Sri Lanka: 1¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket. The 72.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 63¢ meant the market estimated a 63% chance that Zimbabwe would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 63¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 59% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sri Lanka is the winner of the Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe professional Men's T20 World Cup Cricket match originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Zimbabwe
62.8% avg