St. John's at Duke

St. John's at Duke is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Duke Blue Devils leads at 72% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include St. John's Red Storm at 29%.

Duke Blue Devils currently leads at 72% implied probability. Behind Duke Blue Devils, St. John's Red Storm at 29% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Duke Blue Devils: 72¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket. St. John's Red Storm: 29¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

A price of 72¢ means the market estimates a 72% probability that Duke Blue Devils will be the outcome. Buying one share at 72¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 39% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.