Live prediction market odds for Starmer out by...?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Polymarket / Predict.fun
2026-06-30
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
June 30 is priced at 49.3% implied probability for the “Starmer out by...” event. A 70.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Starmer out by... is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Predict.fun). June 30 leads at 49% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
June 30 currently leads at 49% implied probability. The 70.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Predict.fun: June 30: 85¢ on Polymarket. The 70.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 49¢ means the market estimates a 49% probability that June 30 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 49¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 104% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Starmer out by...?” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
June 30
49.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.fun{'description': 'This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 10, 2026, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer\'s resignation/removal before this market\'s end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.'}
