Live prediction market odds for Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (June 2026). Compare prices across Kalshi.
Kalshi
2026-10-05
At least 30 leads the “Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (June 2026)” event at 98.0% implied probability. Other contenders include At least 40 (96.0%), At least 50 (87.0%), At least 60 (59.0%), and At least 80 (18.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (June 2026) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). At least 30 leads at 98% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include At least 40 at 96%, At least 50 at 87%, At least 60 at 59%.
At least 30 currently leads at 98% implied probability. Behind At least 30, At least 40 at 96% and At least 50 at 87% and At least 60 at 59% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: At least 30: 98¢ on Kalshi. At least 40: 96¢ on Kalshi. At least 50: 87¢ on Kalshi. At least 60: 59¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 98¢ means the market estimates a 98% probability that At least 30 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 98¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 2% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (June 2026)” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
At least 30
98.0% avg
