Live prediction market odds for Survivor 50 Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-20
This market resolved on 2026-05-20. Aubry Bracco was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of Survivor 50, set to conclude on May 20, 2026. Viewer engagement and contestant dynamics throughout the season will heavily influence the odds as fans speculate on potential outcomes.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Aubry BraccoWINNER | 99% | 98% |
Tiffany Nicole Ervin | 1% | 55% |
Angelina Keeley | 1% | 50% |
Benjamin "Coach" Wade |
Survivor 50 is scheduled to conclude on May 20, 2026. This date marks the final episode where the winner will be revealed.
Odds for the Survivor 50 winner are influenced by contestant performances, viewer voting patterns, and social media engagement. As the season progresses, these elements can shift market perceptions.
Predictions for the Survivor 50 winner are being tracked on Polymarket and Kalshi. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and contestant developments.
Survivor 50 Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Aubry Bracco led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Tiffany Nicole Ervin at 28%, Angelina Keeley at 26%, Benjamin "Coach" Wade at 26%.
Aubry Bracco held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Aubry Bracco, Tiffany Nicole Ervin at 28% and Angelina Keeley at 26% and Benjamin "Coach" Wade at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 54.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Aubry Bracco
98.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Aubry Bracco is officially declared the winner of Survivor Season 50 before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The winner must be officially announced in the finale or via official channels immediately following. Multiple joint winners each resolve to Yes with split payouts ($1 divided by number of winners). If no winner is declared, all markets resolve to No. Winners who decline the award still count unless acceptance was a condition of victory. Disqualifications or withdrawals before the finale resolve to No. Later title stripping doesn't affect resolution - the original finale announcement governs. Fan favorite or other secondary awards don't count as winning. For couples/teams competitions, being part of the winning unit counts.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
| 1% |
| 50% |
Charlie Davis | 1% | 50% |
Chrissy Hofbeck | 1% | 50% |
Christian Hubicki | 1% | 50% |
Colby Donaldson | 1% | 50% |
Dee Valladares | 1% | 50% |
Genevieve Mushaluk | 1% | 50% |
Jenna Lewis-Dougherty | 1% | 50% |
Kamilla Karthigesu | 1% | 50% |
Kyle Fraser | 1% | 50% |
Mike White | 1% | 50% |
Ozzy Lusth | 1% | 50% |
Quintavius "Q" Burdette | 1% | 50% |
Savannah Louie | 1% | 50% |
Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick | 1% | 50% |
Joe Hunter | 1% | 45% |
Rizo Velovic | 1% | 45% |
Jonathan Young | 1% | 1% |
