Live prediction market odds for Sweden: Stage of Elimination. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-19
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking Sweden's stage of elimination in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The outcome will impact national pride and the future of the team's coaching staff, depending on their performance in the tournament.
Round of 32 leads the “Sweden: Stage of Elimination” event at 61.3% implied probability, followed by Round of 16 at 12.0%. A 7.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
The stage of elimination indicates how far Sweden progresses in the tournament, such as whether they reach the round of 32 or 16. Each stage has implications for the team's performance and future tournaments.
Current odds are influenced by Sweden's recent performances, player fitness, and historical data in international competitions. Changes in these factors can lead to shifts in market prices.
Key factors include player injuries, team chemistry, and the strength of their opponents. Additionally, external elements like weather conditions and fan support can also play a role.
Sweden: Stage of Elimination is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Round of 32 leads at 61% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Round of 16 at 12%.
Round of 32 currently leads at 61% implied probability. Behind Round of 32, Round of 16 at 12% are the next closest contenders. The 7.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Round of 32
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Sweden is eliminated in the Round of 32 in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification. For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing. Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
Polymarket61.3% avg
