Live prediction market odds for Sydney Kings vs SE Melbourne Phoenix. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-15
This market resolved on 2026-02-15. Sydney Kings was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 74%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Sydney KingsWINNER | 99% | 49% |
SE Melbourne Phoenix | 1% | 52% |
South East Melbourne Phoenix | 1% | 52% |
Sydney Kings vs SE Melbourne Phoenix was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sydney Kings led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include SE Melbourne Phoenix at 26%, South East Melbourne Phoenix at 26%.
Sydney Kings held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Sydney Kings, SE Melbourne Phoenix at 26% and South East Melbourne Phoenix at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 50.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sydney Kings: 99¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. SE Melbourne Phoenix: 1¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. South East Melbourne Phoenix: 1¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. The 50.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that Sydney Kings would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Sydney Kings
73.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf SE Melbourne Phoenix wins the Sydney Kings vs SE Melbourne Phoenix professional NBL Australia basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins Sydney Kings vs SE Melbourne Phoenix professional NBL Australia basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules.
