Live prediction market odds for Tennessee Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Tennessee Governor Election Winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. This election will play a crucial role in shaping state policies and party dynamics in Tennessee, influencing both local governance and national political trends.
Democrat is priced at 15.2% implied probability for the “Tennessee Governor Election Winner” event. A 18.9% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key issues include education reform, healthcare access, and economic development. Candidates will address local concerns that resonate with voters across the state.
Prediction markets aggregate real-time data from various sources, reflecting shifts in voter sentiment based on polling, candidate appearances, and campaign strategies. Changes in odds can indicate emerging trends or voter concerns.
Factors include voter turnout, campaign financing, and endorsements from influential local figures. Additionally, national political trends and issues may sway voter preferences leading up to the election.
Tennessee Governor Election Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democrat leads at 15% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Democrat currently leads at 15% implied probability. The 18.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Democrat
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Tennessee pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
15.2% avg
