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This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

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Live prediction market odds for Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

2026-08-06

About This Market

Prediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Tennessee Republican Governor nominee for the upcoming election. The outcome will influence state policies and party dynamics as candidates vie for the nomination amid shifting voter sentiments and campaign strategies.

Marsha Blackburn leads the “Tennessee Republican Governor nominee” event at 89.0% implied probability, followed by John Rose at 7.5%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Live Markets

3 platforms
MB
Marsha Blackburn
90% Avg
Kalshi92¢
Polymarket90¢
PredictIt90¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
90.0%88¢92¢8¢12¢
PolymarketPolymarket
89.0%88¢90¢10¢12¢
PredictItPredictIt
89.5%89¢90¢10¢11¢
JR
John RoseARB
8% Avg
Kalshi10¢
Polymarket7¢
PredictIt10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
8.0%6¢10¢90¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.5%4¢7¢93¢96¢
PredictItPredictIt
9.5%9¢10¢90¢91¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

Odds are shaped by candidate polling, endorsements, and campaign activities. Additionally, shifts in voter sentiment and party alignment can impact predictions.

How does this nomination affect the broader political landscape in Tennessee?

The Republican nominee will play a crucial role in shaping state policies and governance. Their stance on key issues may influence voter turnout and party unity.

When is the election for the Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

The nomination is set to take place on August 6, 2026. This timeline is critical for candidates as they ramp up their campaigns and voter outreach efforts.

What is "Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?" and why does it matter?

Tennessee Republican Governor nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Marsha Blackburn leads at 89% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include John Rose at 8%.

What is moving the odds on "Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?"?

Marsha Blackburn currently leads at 89% implied probability. Behind Marsha Blackburn, John Rose at 8% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Republican Party
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Marsha Blackburn

89.0% avg

Market Rulebook: Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If John Rose wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Tennessee Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Republican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?