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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 8.8% // +$880.00

Live prediction market odds for Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

2026-08-06

About This Market

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Prediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Tennessee Republican Governor nominee for the upcoming election. The outcome will influence state policies and party dynamics as candidates vie for the nomination amid shifting voter sentiments and campaign strategies.

Marsha Blackburn leads the “Tennessee Republican Governor nominee” event at 95.3% implied probability, followed by John Rose at 5.5%. A 8.8% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
MB
Marsha Blackburn
95% Avg
Kalshi97¢
Polymarket99¢
PredictIt96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
94.5%92¢97¢3¢8¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.5%94¢99¢1¢6¢
PredictItPredictIt
92.5%89¢96¢4¢11¢
JR
John RoseARB
15% Avg
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket55¢
PredictIt10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
7.5%7¢8¢92¢93¢
PolymarketPolymarket
27.5%0¢55¢45¢100¢
PredictItPredictIt
9.5%9¢10¢90¢91¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Marsha Blackburn

Marsha Blackburn is the U.S. Senator from Tennessee, serving since 2019. She announced her candidacy for Tennessee governor in August 2025, aiming to succeed term-limited Governor Bill Lee. Blackburn's extensive political experience and alignment with conservative values make her a prominent contender in the 2026 Republican primary.

About John Rose

John Rose is a U.S. Representative for Tennessee's 6th congressional district and a Republican candidate for Governor of Tennessee in the 2026 election. He previously served as Tennessee's Commissioner of Agriculture from 2002 to 2003. His extensive experience in agriculture and business, along with his current congressional role, make him a significant contender in the gubernatorial race.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

Odds are shaped by candidate polling, endorsements, and campaign activities. Additionally, shifts in voter sentiment and party alignment can impact predictions.

How does this nomination affect the broader political landscape in Tennessee?

The Republican nominee will play a crucial role in shaping state policies and governance. Their stance on key issues may influence voter turnout and party unity.

When is the election for the Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

The nomination is set to take place on August 6, 2026. This timeline is critical for candidates as they ramp up their campaigns and voter outreach efforts.

What is "Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?" and why does it matter?

Tennessee Republican Governor nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Marsha Blackburn leads at 95% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include John Rose at 6%.

What is moving the odds on "Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?"?

Marsha Blackburn currently leads at 95% implied probability. Behind Marsha Blackburn, John Rose at 6% are the next closest contenders. The 8.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
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Stats
Spread8.8%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Marsha Blackburn

95.3% avg

Market Rulebook: Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Marsha Blackburn wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Tennessee Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
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