Live prediction market odds for Texas Governor winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
2026-11-03
Republican leads the “Texas Governor winner” event at 83.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Democratic party (17.7%), and Republican party (86.0%). A 9.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Texas Governor winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Republican leads at 84% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic party at 18%, Democratic party at 16%, Republican party at 86%.
Republican currently leads at 84% implied probability. Behind Republican, Democratic party at 18% and Democratic party at 16% and Republican party at 86% are the next closest contenders. The 9.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt: Republican: 80¢ on Polymarket, 88¢ on PredictIt. Democratic party: 18¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket, 13¢ on PredictIt. Democratic party: 18¢ on Kalshi, 13¢ on PredictIt. Republican party: 84¢ on Kalshi, 88¢ on PredictIt. The 9.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ means the market estimates a 84% probability that Republican will be the outcome. Buying one share at 84¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 19% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Republican
83.8% avg
