Live prediction market odds for Texas Senate: Exact outcome. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Kalshi
2028-01-10
Paxton defeats Talarico leads the “Texas Senate: Exact outcome” event at 60.0% implied probability, followed by Talarico defeats Paxton at 39.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Texas Senate: Exact outcome is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Paxton defeats Talarico leads at 60% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Talarico defeats Paxton at 39%.
Paxton defeats Talarico currently leads at 60% implied probability. Behind Paxton defeats Talarico, Talarico defeats Paxton at 39% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Paxton defeats Talarico: 60¢ on Kalshi. Talarico defeats Paxton: 39¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 60¢ means the market estimates a 60% probability that Paxton defeats Talarico will be the outcome. Buying one share at 60¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 67% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Paxton defeats Talarico
60.0% avg
