Live prediction market odds for The Open Championship Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Kalshi
2026-07-19
Scottie Scheffler leads the “The Open Championship Winner” event at 16.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Rory McIlroy (8.0%), Tommy Fleetwood (5.1%), Xander Schauffele (4.9%), and Ludvig Aberg (3.9%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
The Open Championship Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Scottie Scheffler leads at 16% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Rory McIlroy at 8%, Tommy Fleetwood at 5%, Xander Schauffele at 5%.
Scottie Scheffler currently leads at 16% implied probability. Behind Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy at 8% and Tommy Fleetwood at 5% and Xander Schauffele at 5% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Scottie Scheffler: 16¢ on Kalshi. Rory McIlroy: 8¢ on Kalshi. Tommy Fleetwood: 5¢ on Kalshi. Xander Schauffele: 5¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 16¢ means the market estimates a 16% probability that Scottie Scheffler will be the outcome. Buying one share at 16¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 525% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Scottie Scheffler
16.0% avg
