Live prediction market odds for TN-03 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the TN-03 House race scheduled for November 3, 2026. This election is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in the House of Representatives and reflect voter sentiment in the region leading up to the general election.
Democratic Party is priced at 49.8% implied probability for the “TN-03 House winner” event. A 87.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and local issues that resonate with voters. Additionally, national political trends and party support can significantly impact the race.
Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants who speculate on the election outcome, providing insights into perceived candidate viability. Changes in odds can indicate shifts in public opinion or emerging campaign dynamics.
The outcome of the TN-03 House election could determine party control in the House, affecting legislative priorities and governance. This race also serves as a barometer for broader political trends as the nation approaches the 2026 elections.
TN-03 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 50% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Democratic Party currently leads at 50% implied probability. The 87.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “TN-03 House winner?” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Democratic Party
49.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for TN-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
