Live prediction market odds for TN-06 House Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the TN-06 House Election Winner for the upcoming 2026 election. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in the House of Representatives, making it a focal point for both parties' strategies and voter engagement.
Republican Party leads the “TN-06 House Election Winner” event at 95.3% implied probability, followed by A at 48.5%. A 87.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
The TN-06 House Election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date aligns with the general election day in the United States.
Factors influencing the outcome may include voter turnout, campaign funding, and national political trends. Local issues and candidate popularity will also play significant roles.
This election is crucial as it could shift the balance of power in the House of Representatives. A change in representation could affect legislative priorities and governance.
TN-06 House Election Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican Party leads at 95% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include A at 49%.
Republican Party currently leads at 95% implied probability. Behind Republican Party, A at 49% are the next closest contenders. The 87.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for TN-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Republican Party
95.3% avg
