Live prediction market odds for TN-07 House Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the TN-07 House Election Winner for the upcoming 2026 election. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, particularly in light of shifting voter demographics and local issues.
Republican Party leads the “TN-07 House Election Winner” event at 89.8% implied probability, followed by Democratic Party at 10.0%. A 6.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements also play a significant role in shaping market perceptions.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.
TN-07 is considered a battleground district that can swing either way in elections. Its outcome may impact the overall control of the House of Representatives.
TN-07 House Election Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican Party leads at 90% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic Party at 10%.
Republican Party currently leads at 90% implied probability. Behind Republican Party, Democratic Party at 10% are the next closest contenders. The 6.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Republican Party
89.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for TN-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
