Live prediction market odds for Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in 2025. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-31
This market resolved on 2025-12-31. Jimmy Kimmel was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Jimmy KimmelWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Kendrick Lamar | 99% | 100% |
Pope Leo XIV | 99% | 100% |
Tyler Robinson |
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in 2025 was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jimmy Kimmel led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Kendrick Lamar at 100%, Pope Leo XIV at 100%, Tyler Robinson at 100%.
Jimmy Kimmel held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Jimmy Kimmel, Kendrick Lamar at 100% and Pope Leo XIV at 100% and Tyler Robinson at 100% were the next closest contenders. The 50.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jimmy Kimmel: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Kendrick Lamar: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Pope Leo XIV: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Tyler Robinson: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. The 50.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Jimmy Kimmel would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Jimmy Kimmel
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Jimmy Kimmel is in the Top 5 on Google’s Year in Search 2025 Global – People in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves based on the individuals ranked in the “People” section of Google’s official Year in Search 2025 – Global list. Google’s report includes multiple sections such as Searches, News, Passings, and People — only the People section applies to this market. If Liam Payne is #1 in “Searches” but Donald Trump is #1 in “People,” the market resolves Yes to Donald Trump.
| 100% |
d4vd | 99% | 99% |
Imane Khelif | 2% | 50% |
Kamala Harris | 2% | 50% |
Sam Altman | 2% | 50% |
Andy Byron | 1% | 50% |
Bad Bunny | 1% | 50% |
Bianca Censori | 1% | 50% |
Charlie Kirk | 1% | 50% |
Diddy | 1% | 50% |
Elon Musk | 1% | 50% |
Jair Bolsonaro | 1% | 50% |
Jimmy Carter | 1% | 50% |
Joe Biden | 1% | 50% |
Justin Trudeau | 1% | 50% |
Katy Perry | 1% | 50% |
Lionel Messi | 1% | 50% |
Luigi Mangione | 1% | 50% |
María Corina Machado | 1% | 50% |
Mark Carney | 1% | 50% |
Taylor Swift | 1% | 50% |
Vladimir Putin | 1% | 50% |
Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 1% | 50% |
Ali Khamenei | 0% | 50% |
Andrew Tate | 0% | 50% |
Kylian Mbappé | 0% | 50% |
Billie Eilish | 2% | 0% |
Zohran Mamdani | 1% | 1% |
Sydney Sweeney | 1% | 50% |
Donald Trump | 1% | 1% |
Benjamin Netanyahu | 1% | 0% |
Pope Francis | 1% | 0% |
Greta Thunberg | 1% | 0% |
Timothée Chalamet | 1% | 0% |
Beyoncé | 1% | 0% |
Catherine | 1% | 0% |
Travis Kelce | 1% | 0% |
