About This Market
ShareTürkiye wins leads the “Türkiye vs Paraguay” event at 22.8% implied probability, followed by Paraguay wins at 19.0%. A 41.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Live prediction market odds for Türkiye vs Paraguay. Compare prices across Opinion and Predict.fun.
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Opinion / Predict.fun
2026-06-20
Türkiye wins leads the “Türkiye vs Paraguay” event at 22.8% implied probability, followed by Paraguay wins at 19.0%. A 41.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Türkiye vs Paraguay is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Opinion, Predict.fun). Türkiye wins leads at 23% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Paraguay wins at 0%.
Türkiye wins currently leads at 23% implied probability. The 41.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Opinion, Predict.fun: Türkiye wins: no active prices. Paraguay wins: no active prices. The 41.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 23¢ means the market estimates a 23% probability that Türkiye wins will be the outcome. Buying one share at 23¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 335% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Türkiye wins
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Opinion and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
OpinionResolves Yes if Paraguay wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.
Polymarket
Predict.fun{'description': 'In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 19, 2026\nIf Paraguay wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to "No".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event\'s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.'}
22.8% avg