Live prediction market odds for TX-28 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-04
Democratic Party leads the “TX-28 House winner” event at 69.0% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 27.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
TX-28 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 69% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 27%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 69% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 27% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Democratic Party: 69¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. Republican Party: 27¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 69¢ means the market estimates a 69% probability that Democratic Party will be the outcome. Buying one share at 69¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 45% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Democratic Party
69.0% avg
