Live prediction market odds for TX-35 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-04
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the TX-35 House race scheduled for November 2026. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in Texas.
Democratic Party leads the “TX-35 House winner” event at 52.0% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 50.3%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising totals, and local issues affecting voters. Polling data leading up to the election also plays a crucial role in shaping market expectations.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of traders about the likelihood of various candidates winning.
The outcome could significantly impact legislative priorities and party control in Congress. Additionally, it may serve as a barometer for broader political trends in Texas leading into the 2026 elections.
TX-35 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 50%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 50% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Democratic Party
52.0% avg
