North Texas Wins: UAB at North Texas

UAB at North Texas was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). North Texas led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include North Texas Mean Green at 89%.

North Texas held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind North Texas, North Texas Mean Green at 89% were the next closest contenders. The 20.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: North Texas: 99¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket. North Texas Mean Green: 99¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket. The 20.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that North Texas would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.