Live prediction market odds for Sporting CP vs. Arsenal. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-15
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal — UEFA Champions League game scheduled for 2026-04-15. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Arsenal leads the “Sporting CP vs. Arsenal” event at 69.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (42.5%), and Sporting CP (40.0%). A 19.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arsenal leads at 70% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 43%, Sporting CP at 40%.
Arsenal currently leads at 70% implied probability. Behind Arsenal, Draw at 43% and Sporting CP at 40% are the next closest contenders. The 19.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Arsenal: 65¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 36¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Sporting CP: 31¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 19.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 70¢ means the market estimates a 70% probability that Arsenal will be the outcome. Buying one share at 70¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 43% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Arsenal
69.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Arsenal wins the Arsenal vs Sporting CP professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Arsenal vs Sporting CP professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 15, 2026 If Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
