Live prediction market odds for UFC 327: Murzakanov vs Costa. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-12
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking UFC 327: Murzakanov vs Costa, set for April 12, 2026. This matchup is pivotal as it could impact rankings and future title shots in the light heavyweight division, drawing attention from fans and analysts alike.
Azamat Murzakanov is priced at 66.3% implied probability for the “UFC 327: Murzakanov vs Costa” event. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Both fighters aim to improve their standings in the light heavyweight division. A victory could lead to a title shot or higher-profile matchups in the future.
Prediction markets adjust odds based on various factors, including past performances, injuries, and training camp updates. These fluctuations provide insights into public sentiment and expert analysis leading up to the fight.
Odds are influenced by fighter statistics, recent fight outcomes, and public betting patterns. Additionally, factors like fight location and pre-fight interviews can sway market perceptions.
UFC 327: Murzakanov vs Costa is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Azamat Murzakanov leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Azamat Murzakanov currently leads at 66% implied probability. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Azamat Murzakanov
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Azamat Murzakanov wins the Murzakanov vs Costa professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Murzakanov vs Costa professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
Polymarket66.3% avg
