Live prediction market odds for UFC 328: Alvarez vs Amosov. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-10
This market resolved on 2026-05-10. Yaroslav Amosov was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking UFC 328: Alvarez vs Amosov, a highly anticipated matchup in the mixed martial arts world. The outcome could have implications for title shots and rankings in the welterweight division, influencing fighters' futures and fan engagement.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Yaroslav AmosovWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Joel Álvarez | 1% | 0% |
Both fighters are looking to solidify their positions in the welterweight rankings. A victory could lead to a title shot or higher-profile matchups.
Impressive performances can lead to increased visibility and endorsement deals. Fighters often seek to enhance their marketability through standout victories.
Odds are influenced by fighters' past performances, training camps, and any injuries leading up to the fight. Betting patterns and public sentiment also play a role.
UFC 328: Alvarez vs Amosov was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Yaroslav Amosov led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Joel Álvarez at 1%.
Yaroslav Amosov held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Yaroslav Amosov, Joel Álvarez at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Yaroslav Amosov
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Yaroslav Amosov wins the Alvarez vs Amosov professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Alvarez vs Amosov professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 9, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
Polymarket