Live prediction market odds for UFC 328: Carpenter vs Ochoa. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-10
Jose Ochoa leads the “UFC 328: Carpenter vs Ochoa” event at 62.0% implied probability, followed by Clayton Carpenter at 38.5%. A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
UFC 328: Carpenter vs Ochoa is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jose Ochoa leads at 62% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Clayton Carpenter at 39%.
Jose Ochoa currently leads at 62% implied probability. Behind Jose Ochoa, Clayton Carpenter at 39% are the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jose Ochoa: 64¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. Clayton Carpenter: 37¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 62¢ means the market estimates a 62% probability that Jose Ochoa will be the outcome. Buying one share at 62¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 61% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Jose Ochoa
62.0% avg
