Live prediction market odds for UFC 328: Dawson vs Rebecki. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-10
This market resolved on 2026-05-10. Grant Dawson was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking UFC 328: Dawson vs Rebecki, an anticipated matchup in the mixed martial arts calendar. Factors such as fighter statistics, recent performances, and fan engagement will influence the odds leading up to the event.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Grant DawsonWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Mateusz Rebecki | 1% | 0% |
This fight marks an important event in the UFC schedule, showcasing rising talent in the lightweight division. The outcome could impact rankings and future title shots for both fighters.
Fighter performance in previous matches, including wins, losses, and fight styles, plays a crucial role in shaping market odds. Analysts and bettors closely monitor these factors to gauge potential outcomes.
Betting odds are influenced by various elements, including fighter health, training camps, and public sentiment. Additionally, expert analysis and betting volume can shift the odds as the fight date approaches.
UFC 328: Dawson vs Rebecki was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Grant Dawson led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Mateusz Rebecki at 1%.
Grant Dawson held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Grant Dawson, Mateusz Rebecki at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Grant Dawson
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Grant Dawson wins the Dawson vs Rebecki professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Dawson vs Rebecki professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 9, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
Polymarket