Live prediction market odds for UFC 328: Dawson vs Rebecki. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-10
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking UFC 328: Dawson vs Rebecki, an anticipated matchup in the mixed martial arts calendar. Factors such as fighter statistics, recent performances, and fan engagement will influence the odds leading up to the event.
Grant Dawson leads the “UFC 328: Dawson vs Rebecki” event at 61.0% implied probability, followed by Mateusz Rebecki at 38.5%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
This fight marks an important event in the UFC schedule, showcasing rising talent in the lightweight division. The outcome could impact rankings and future title shots for both fighters.
Fighter performance in previous matches, including wins, losses, and fight styles, plays a crucial role in shaping market odds. Analysts and bettors closely monitor these factors to gauge potential outcomes.
Betting odds are influenced by various elements, including fighter health, training camps, and public sentiment. Additionally, expert analysis and betting volume can shift the odds as the fight date approaches.
UFC 328: Dawson vs Rebecki is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Grant Dawson leads at 61% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mateusz Rebecki at 39%.
Grant Dawson currently leads at 61% implied probability. Behind Grant Dawson, Mateusz Rebecki at 39% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Grant Dawson
61.0% avg
