Live prediction market odds for UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-29
This market resolved on 2026-03-29. Yousri Belgaroui was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 72%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui, set for March 29, 2026. This matchup is significant as it could influence rankings and future title shots in the UFC, making it a pivotal moment for both fighters' careers.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Yousri BelgarouiWINNER | 99% | 46% |
Mansur Abdul-Malik | 1% | 55% |
This fight could determine the future trajectories of both fighters, impacting their rankings and potential title opportunities. Winning could lead to higher-profile matches and increased visibility in the UFC.
Prediction markets aggregate real-time data from various sources, allowing bettors to gauge public sentiment and expert analysis. Odds may fluctuate based on fighter performance, training camp updates, and betting patterns leading up to the event.
Betting odds are influenced by a variety of factors including fighter statistics, past performance, injuries, and public betting trends. Additionally, expert opinions and media coverage can sway market sentiment as the fight date approaches.
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Yousri Belgaroui led the market at 72% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Mansur Abdul-Malik at 28%.
Yousri Belgaroui held the lead at 72% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Yousri Belgaroui, Mansur Abdul-Malik at 28% were the next closest contenders. The 53.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Yousri Belgaroui
72.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Yousri Belgaroui wins the Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
Polymarket