Live prediction market odds for UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-29
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui, set for March 29, 2026. This matchup is significant as it could influence rankings and future title shots in the UFC, making it a pivotal moment for both fighters' careers.
Mansur Abdul-Malik leads the “UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui” event at 56.3% implied probability, followed by Yousri Belgaroui at 44.8%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
This fight could determine the future trajectories of both fighters, impacting their rankings and potential title opportunities. Winning could lead to higher-profile matches and increased visibility in the UFC.
Prediction markets aggregate real-time data from various sources, allowing bettors to gauge public sentiment and expert analysis. Odds may fluctuate based on fighter performance, training camp updates, and betting patterns leading up to the event.
Betting odds are influenced by a variety of factors including fighter statistics, past performance, injuries, and public betting trends. Additionally, expert opinions and media coverage can sway market sentiment as the fight date approaches.
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mansur Abdul-Malik leads at 56% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Yousri Belgaroui at 45%.
Mansur Abdul-Malik currently leads at 56% implied probability. Behind Mansur Abdul-Malik, Yousri Belgaroui at 45% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Mansur Abdul-Malik
56.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Yousri Belgaroui wins the Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
Polymarket