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Live prediction market odds for UFC Fight Night: Amil vs Rodriguez. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Amil vs Rodriguez

2026-06-21

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking UFC Fight Night: Amil vs Rodriguez, set for June 21, 2026. This matchup is pivotal as fighters aim to enhance their rankings and secure future title shots in a competitive division.

Christian Rodriguez leads the “UFC Fight Night: Amil vs Rodriguez” event at 63.0% implied probability, followed by Hyder Amil at 37.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
CR
Christian Rodriguez
62% Avg
Kalshi63¢
Polymarket63¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
62.5%62¢63¢37¢38¢
PolymarketPolymarket
62.0%61¢63¢37¢39¢
HA
Hyder Amil
38% Avg
Kalshi38¢
Polymarket39¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
37.5%37¢38¢62¢63¢
PolymarketPolymarket
38.0%37¢39¢61¢63¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Hyder Amil

Hyder Amil is a Filipino-American mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's Featherweight division. He began his professional MMA career in 2017, achieving an undefeated record before joining the UFC in 2023. Amil is recognized for his striking skills, securing multiple knockouts in his career.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of this fight in the UFC?

This fight impacts the rankings within the division, influencing potential title shots for the fighters. Winning can elevate a fighter's career and marketability.

How do fighters prepare for a matchup like this?

Fighters typically undergo rigorous training camps focusing on strategy, conditioning, and skill enhancement. Nutrition and mental preparation also play crucial roles in their readiness.

What factors can influence the odds in this fight?

Odds may shift based on recent performance, injuries, and public sentiment leading up to the fight. Additionally, weigh-ins and fight week activities can impact perceptions of each fighter's readiness.

What is "UFC Fight Night: Amil vs Rodriguez" and why does it matter?

UFC Fight Night: Amil vs Rodriguez is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Christian Rodriguez leads at 63% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Hyder Amil at 38%.

What is moving the odds on "UFC Fight Night: Amil vs Rodriguez"?

Christian Rodriguez currently leads at 63% implied probability. Behind Christian Rodriguez, Hyder Amil at 38% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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Stats
Spread1.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Christian Rodriguez

Market Rulebook: UFC Fight Night: Amil vs Rodriguez

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Christian Rodriguez wins the Amil vs Rodriguez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Amil vs Rodriguez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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63.0% avg