Live prediction market odds for UFC Fight Night: Johnson vs Silva. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-15
This market resolved on 2026-03-15. Charles Johnson was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 80%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking UFC Fight Night: Johnson vs Silva, held on March 15, 2026. This matchup is pivotal as it could impact rankings and future title shots for the fighters involved, drawing attention from fans and analysts alike.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Charles JohnsonWINNER | 99% | 62% |
Bruno Silva | 1% | 39% |
This fight could determine the future trajectories of both fighters' careers, particularly in relation to title opportunities. Rankings and performance in this event may influence matchmaking for upcoming bouts.
Odds can fluctuate based on fighter performance in training camps, public sentiment, and betting patterns. Injuries or other external factors may also impact the odds as the fight date approaches.
Betting odds are influenced by fighters' past performances, expert analyses, and fan engagement. Additionally, any news regarding injuries or changes in training camps can sway public opinion and betting behavior.
UFC Fight Night: Johnson vs Silva was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Charles Johnson led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Bruno Silva at 20%.
Charles Johnson held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Charles Johnson, Bruno Silva at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 37.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Bruno Silva wins the Johnson vs Silva professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Johnson vs Silva professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Bruno Silva" if Bruno Silva is officially declared the winner of the fight against Charles Johnson at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Charles Johnson" if Charles Johnson is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Charles Johnson
80.3% avg
