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Live prediction market odds for UFC Fight Night: Lima vs Borjas. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Lima vs Borjas

2026-06-21

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking UFC Fight Night: Lima vs Borjas, an anticipated matchup in the mixed martial arts calendar. The outcome could influence rankings and future fight opportunities for the competitors involved, making it a key event for fans and analysts alike.

Andre Lima leads the “UFC Fight Night: Lima vs Borjas” event at 81.3% implied probability, followed by Kevin Borjas at 19.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
AL
Andre Lima
82% Avg
Kalshi82¢
Polymarket82¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
81.5%81¢82¢18¢19¢
PolymarketPolymarket
81.5%81¢82¢18¢19¢
KB
Kevin Borjas
19% Avg
Kalshi19¢
Polymarket19¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
18.5%18¢19¢81¢82¢
PolymarketPolymarket
18.5%18¢19¢81¢82¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Andre Lima

Andre Lima is an undefeated Brazilian flyweight fighter with a professional MMA record of 11-0-0, including five wins by knockout and four first-round finishes. He began his UFC career in March 2024, securing a victory by disqualification after his opponent, Igor Severino, bit him during the fight. Lima is scheduled to face Kevin Borjas at UFC Fight Night on June 20, 2026.

About Kevin Borjas

Kevin Borjas is a Peruvian mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's flyweight division. He began his professional MMA career in 2018 and secured the Inka FC flyweight championship. With a record of 10 wins and 5 losses, Borjas is recognized for his striking skills, achieving 8 wins by knockout and 5 first-round finishes.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of UFC Fight Night: Lima vs Borjas?

This fight is crucial for both fighters as it can impact their rankings and potential future matchups. Performance in this event may also affect their marketability and fan support.

How do prediction markets reflect the odds for this fight?

Prediction markets aggregate real-time betting data, reflecting public sentiment and expert analysis on the fight's outcome. As factors like fighter performance and training camp news develop, odds may fluctuate.

What factors influence the odds in this UFC matchup?

Odds can be influenced by recent fight performances, injuries, and the fighters' training camps. Additionally, public interest and betting volume can shift the odds leading up to the event.

What is "UFC Fight Night: Lima vs Borjas" and why does it matter?

UFC Fight Night: Lima vs Borjas is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Andre Lima leads at 81% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Kevin Borjas at 19%.

What is moving the odds on "UFC Fight Night: Lima vs Borjas"?

Andre Lima currently leads at 81% implied probability. Behind Andre Lima, Kevin Borjas at 19% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Andre Lima

Market Rulebook: UFC Fight Night: Lima vs Borjas

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Kevin Borjas wins the Lima vs Borjas professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Lima vs Borjas professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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81.3% avg