Live prediction market odds for UFC Fight Night: Mesquita vs Mullins. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-21
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking UFC Fight Night: Mesquita vs Mullins, an event that could impact rankings and future matchups in the UFC. Fighter performance, injuries, and fan engagement play crucial roles in shaping the odds leading up to the fight.
Melissa Mullins is priced at 20.5% implied probability for the “UFC Fight Night: Mesquita vs Mullins” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
This fight is part of the UFC's ongoing schedule, contributing to fighter rankings and potential title shots. Performance in this match can influence future opportunities for both competitors.
Injuries to either fighter can significantly alter the odds as they impact training and performance capabilities. Markets often react quickly to news about injuries, reflecting changes in expected outcomes.
Odds are influenced by fighter statistics, recent performances, public sentiment, and expert analyses. Betting patterns and media coverage also play a role in shaping market expectations.
UFC Fight Night: Mesquita vs Mullins is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Melissa Mullins leads at 21% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Melissa Mullins currently leads at 21% implied probability. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Melissa Mullins
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Melissa Mullins wins the Mesquita vs Mullins professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Mesquita vs Mullins professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
Polymarket20.5% avg
