Live prediction market odds for Union Berlin vs FC Köln. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-02
This market resolved on 2026-05-02. Draw (1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln) was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 63%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Union Berlin and FC Köln on May 2, 2026. This match is crucial for both teams as they vie for points in the league standings, impacting their chances for European competition qualification.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Draw (1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln)WINNER | 99% | 28% |
1. FC Union Berlin | 1% | 39% |
FC Köln | 1% | 34% |
Both teams are competing for valuable points that could determine their positions in the league. A win could enhance their chances of qualifying for European competitions.
Prediction markets analyze various factors, including team form, injuries, and historical performance. These elements influence the odds offered by platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.
Team strategy, player fitness, and home-field advantage are critical factors that can influence the match result. Additionally, recent performance trends and head-to-head statistics will play a role.
Union Berlin vs FC Köln was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Draw (1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln) led the market at 63% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include 1. FC Union Berlin at 20%, FC Köln at 17%.
Draw (1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln) held the lead at 63% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Draw (1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln), 1. FC Union Berlin at 20% and FC Köln at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 71.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Union Berlin wins the Union Berlin vs FC Köln professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Union Berlin vs FC Köln professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
OpinionResolves Yes if Union Berlin wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.
PolymarketDraw (1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln)
63.3% avg
