Live prediction market odds for US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-12-31
Market Summary
Current prediction market odds for the US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? show US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026 priced at an average implied probability of 28.0%. With a 2.0% spread across platforms, odds may vary between venues.
Market Narrative // Why the odds are moving
The Pentagon and Energy Department airlifted a 5-megawatt small nuclear reactor from California to Utah, demonstrating U.S. potential for rapid deployment of nuclear power; this operational milestone under the Trump administration increases likelihood of new licenses by 2026..
Sources: AP News
Resolution
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US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026
28.0% avg
