Live prediction market odds for US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-12-31
Market Summary
Current prediction market odds for the US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? show US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 priced at an average implied probability of 50.8%. With a 3.5% spread across platforms, odds may vary between venues.
Market Narrative // Why the odds are moving
US officials indicate readiness to hold nuclear talks in Geneva if Iran provides a detailed deal proposal within 48 hours, signaling a window for progress before 2027 contingent on Iran's submission.. Meanwhile, Axios reports: a senior u.s. official confirms the trump administration is awaiting iran's detailed proposal for a nuclear deal; if received, talks are set for friday to negotiate terms including uranium enrichment limits, directly affecting deal likelihood..
Additional coverage from Ynetnews, AP News, The Times of Israel suggests continued market attention. The 3.5% spread across platforms indicates divergent interpretations of these developments.
Sources: The Jerusalem Post / Axios / Ynetnews / AP News / The Times of Israel
Resolution
This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027
50.8% avg
