Live prediction market odds for VA-07 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-04
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the VA-07 House race. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, depending on voter turnout and campaign strategies leading up to November 2026.
Democratic Party leads the “VA-07 House winner” event at 87.8% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 10.8%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include voter turnout, campaign funding, and key endorsements. Additionally, local issues and national trends may sway public opinion leading up to the election.
The VA-07 House election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This date is significant as it coincides with the general election, which includes other federal and state races.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and can change rapidly based on new information or events.
VA-07 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 88% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 11%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 88% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 11% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Democratic Party
87.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for VA-7 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
