Live prediction market odds for Valero Texas Open Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-02
Valero Texas Open Winner — PGA Tour tournament scheduled for 2026-04-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Robert MacIntyre leads the “Valero Texas Open Winner” event at 54.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Ludvig Åberg (13.8%), Adrien Dumont de Chassart (12.7%), Beau Hossler (12.6%), and Mackenzie Hughes (12.6%). A 23.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Valero Texas Open Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Robert MacIntyre leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Ludvig Åberg at 14%, Adrien Dumont de Chassart at 13%, Beau Hossler at 13%.
Robert MacIntyre currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Robert MacIntyre, Ludvig Åberg at 14% and Adrien Dumont de Chassart at 13% and Beau Hossler at 13% are the next closest contenders. The 23.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Robert MacIntyre: 56¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Ludvig Åberg: 14¢ on Kalshi, 14¢ on Polymarket. Adrien Dumont de Chassart: 1¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. Beau Hossler: 1¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. The 23.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Robert MacIntyre will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Valero Texas Open Winner” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2.5K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Max McGreevy wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, their contracts will resolve as follows: Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets will resolve to No Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets will resolve to Fair Market Value Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Robert MacIntyre
54.8% avg
