Live prediction market odds for Valero Texas Open Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-02
Valero Texas Open Winner — PGA Tour tournament scheduled for 2026-04-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Ludvig Åberg leads the “Valero Texas Open Winner” event at 6.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Tommy Fleetwood (5.9%), Russell Henley (5.8%), Robert MacIntyre (5.2%), and Jordan Spieth (5.2%). A 1.7% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Valero Texas Open Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ludvig Åberg leads at 6% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Tommy Fleetwood at 6%, Russell Henley at 6%, Robert MacIntyre at 5%.
Ludvig Åberg currently leads at 6% implied probability. Behind Ludvig Åberg, Tommy Fleetwood at 6% and Russell Henley at 6% and Robert MacIntyre at 5% are the next closest contenders. A 1.7% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ludvig Åberg: 6¢ on Kalshi, 7¢ on Polymarket. Tommy Fleetwood: 6¢ on Kalshi, 6¢ on Polymarket. Russell Henley: 5¢ on Kalshi, 7¢ on Polymarket. Robert MacIntyre: 5¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 1.7% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 6¢ means the market estimates a 6% probability that Ludvig Åberg will be the outcome. Buying one share at 6¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 1567% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Ludvig Åberg
6.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Max McGreevy wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, their contracts will resolve as follows: Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets will resolve to No Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets will resolve to Fair Market Value Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
