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Live prediction market odds for Vermont Governor winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.

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Kalshi / PredictIt

Vermont Governor winner?

2026-11-03

About This Market

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Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the Vermont Governor election set for November 3, 2026. This election will determine the state's leadership and influence local policies, making it a key focus for both parties as they strategize for the upcoming race.

Republican leads the “Vermont Governor winner” event at 75.0% implied probability, followed by Democratic at 26.5%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
R
Republican
74% Avg
Kalshi77¢
PredictIt75¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
76.0%75¢77¢23¢25¢
PredictItPredictIt
71.0%67¢75¢25¢33¢
D
DemocraticARB
25% Avg
Kalshi25¢
PredictIt29¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
22.5%20¢25¢75¢80¢
PredictItPredictIt
27.5%26¢29¢71¢74¢

Frequently Asked Questions

When is the Vermont Governor election?

The Vermont Governor election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is crucial for determining the state's political direction.

What factors influence the odds for the Vermont Governor race?

Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, polling data, and party dynamics leading up to the election. Local issues and national trends may also affect voter sentiment.

How do prediction markets help in understanding the Vermont Governor race?

Prediction markets aggregate real-time insights into voter expectations and candidate viability. They reflect the collective judgment of participants based on available information.

What is "Vermont Governor winner?" and why does it matter?

Vermont Governor winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, PredictIt). Republican leads at 75% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic at 27%.

What is moving the odds on "Vermont Governor winner?"?

Republican currently leads at 75% implied probability. Behind Republican, Democratic at 27% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
US State Governments
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Republican

75.0% avg

Market Rulebook: Vermont Governor winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Vermont pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
US State Governments
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