Live prediction market odds for Vermont Governor winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.
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Kalshi / PredictIt
2026-11-03
Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the Vermont Governor election set for November 3, 2026. This election will determine the state's leadership and influence local policies, making it a key focus for both parties as they strategize for the upcoming race.
Republican leads the “Vermont Governor winner” event at 85.5% implied probability, followed by Democratic at 15.5%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
The Vermont Governor election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is crucial for determining the state's political direction.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, polling data, and party dynamics leading up to the election. Local issues and national trends may also affect voter sentiment.
Prediction markets aggregate real-time insights into voter expectations and candidate viability. They reflect the collective judgment of participants based on available information.
Vermont Governor winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, PredictIt). Republican leads at 86% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic at 16%.
Republican currently leads at 86% implied probability. Behind Republican, Democratic at 16% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Republican
85.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Vermont pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
