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Live prediction market odds for Vermont Governor winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

Vermont Governor winner?

2026-11-03

About This Market

Share

Prediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Vermont Governor election set for November 3, 2026. The outcome will influence state policies and party dynamics, making it a focal point for local and national political strategies.

Republican leads the “Vermont Governor winner” event at 78.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Democratic party (21.5%), and Republican party (76.0%). A 6.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Live Markets

3 platforms
R
RepublicanARB
77% Avg
Polymarket81¢
PredictIt75¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
PolymarketPolymarket
80.0%79¢81¢19¢21¢
PredictItPredictIt
74.0%73¢75¢25¢27¢
DP
Democratic partyARB
21% Avg
Kalshi21¢
Polymarket19¢
PredictIt25¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
20.0%19¢21¢79¢81¢
PolymarketPolymarket
18.0%17¢19¢81¢83¢
PredictItPredictIt
24.0%23¢25¢75¢77¢
DP
Democratic partyARB
22% Avg
Kalshi21¢
PredictIt25¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
20.0%19¢21¢79¢81¢
PredictItPredictIt
24.0%23¢25¢75¢77¢
RP
Republican party
75% Avg
Kalshi77¢
PredictIt75¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
76.0%75¢77¢23¢25¢
PredictItPredictIt
74.0%73¢75¢25¢27¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the Vermont Governor election?

The Vermont Governor election can shape state policies on key issues such as healthcare, education, and climate change. Additionally, the results may impact party control and influence national political trends.

How do prediction markets work for this election?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of the election outcome. Prices fluctuate based on new information, polling data, and campaign developments.

What factors could influence the odds in this election?

Factors such as candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout will play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, any significant events or controversies leading up to the election may also impact market perceptions.

What is "Vermont Governor winner?" and why does it matter?

Vermont Governor winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Republican leads at 78% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic party at 22%, Democratic party at 23%, Republican party at 76%.

What is moving the odds on "Vermont Governor winner?"?

Republican currently leads at 78% implied probability. Behind Republican, Democratic party at 22% and Democratic party at 23% and Republican party at 76% are the next closest contenders. The 6.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread6.5%
Platforms3
Candidates4
Volume$11K
Leader

Republican

78.0% avg

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?