Live prediction market odds for Vermont Republican Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-08-11
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Vermont Republican Governor nominee for the upcoming election. This nomination is crucial as it will shape the party's strategy and influence the political landscape in Vermont leading up to the election.
Phil Scott leads the “Vermont Republican Governor nominee” event at 93.9% implied probability, followed by John Rodgers at 2.2%. A 4.7% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and party dynamics play significant roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, public sentiment and campaign strategies can impact market perceptions.
The nomination is set to occur ahead of the general election on August 11, 2026. Candidates will be vying for support in the lead-up to this date.
Prediction markets aggregate the collective opinions of participants, providing insights into perceived probabilities of outcomes. As new information emerges, such as debates or policy announcements, odds may fluctuate accordingly.
Vermont Republican Governor nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Phil Scott leads at 94% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include John Rodgers at 2%.
Phil Scott currently leads at 94% implied probability. Behind Phil Scott, John Rodgers at 2% are the next closest contenders. The 4.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf John Rodgers wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Phil Scott
93.9% avg
