Live prediction market odds for WA-04 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Kalshi
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the WA-04 House race, set for November 2026. This election will influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in the region.
Republican party leads the “WA-04 House winner” event at 85.0% implied probability, followed by Democratic party at 13.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements can also sway public perception and market odds.
The outcome could shift the majority in the House of Representatives, affecting legislative priorities. Additionally, it serves as a barometer for national trends in voter behavior leading up to the 2026 elections.
The election for the WA-04 House seat is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election, where multiple federal and state offices will be contested.
WA-04 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Republican party leads at 85% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic party at 14%.
Republican party currently leads at 85% implied probability. Behind Republican party, Democratic party at 14% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Republican party
85.0% avg
