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Live prediction market odds for Baylor Bears vs. Duke Blue Devils (Women's). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Duke Blue Devils Wins: Baylor Bears vs. Duke Blue Devils (Women's)

Resolved 2026-03-22

This market resolved on 2026-03-22. Duke Blue Devils was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 82%.

About This Market

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Baylor Bears vs. Duke Blue Devils (Women's) — Women's College Basketball game held on 2026-03-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Duke Blue DevilsWINNER
99%65%
Baylor Bears
1%36%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Baylor Bears vs. Duke Blue Devils (Women's)" and why did it matter?

Baylor Bears vs. Duke Blue Devils (Women's) was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Duke Blue Devils led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Baylor Bears at 18%.

What moved the odds on "Baylor Bears vs. Duke Blue Devils (Women's)"?

Duke Blue Devils held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Duke Blue Devils, Baylor Bears at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 34.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "Baylor Bears vs. Duke Blue Devils (Women's)" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Duke Blue Devils: 99¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. Baylor Bears: 1¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. The 34.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 82% odds for Duke Blue Devils mean?

A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that Duke Blue Devils would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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Stats
Spread34.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Duke Blue Devils

81.8% avg

Market Rulebook: Baylor Bears vs. Duke Blue Devils (Women's)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Baylor wins the Baylor at Duke women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the team who wins the Baylor at Duke women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming WBB game, scheduled for March 22 at 4:00 PM ET: If the Baylor Bears win, the market will resolve to "Baylor Bears". If the Duke Blue Devils win, the market will resolve to "Duke Blue Devils". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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