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Live prediction market odds for San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Montana State Bobcats Wins: San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's)

Resolved 2026-03-22

This market resolved on 2026-03-22. Montana State Bobcats was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 74%.

About This Market

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San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's) — Women's College Basketball game held on 2026-03-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Montana State BobcatsWINNER
99%50%
San Francisco Dons
1%51%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's)" and why did it matter?

San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's) was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Montana State Bobcats led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include San Francisco Dons at 26%.

What moved the odds on "San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's)"?

Montana State Bobcats held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Montana State Bobcats, San Francisco Dons at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's)" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Montana State Bobcats: 99¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. San Francisco Dons: 1¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. The 49.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 74% odds for Montana State Bobcats mean?

A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that Montana State Bobcats would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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Stats
Spread49.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Montana State Bobcats

74.3% avg

Market Rulebook: San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If San Francisco wins the San Francisco at Montana St. women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the team who wins the San Francisco at Montana St. women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming WBB game, scheduled for March 22 at 4:00 PM ET: If the San Francisco Dons win, the market will resolve to "San Francisco Dons". If the Montana State Bobcats win, the market will resolve to "Montana State Bobcats". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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