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MarketsWhalesArbTrending
ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 49.5% // +$4950.00

Live prediction market odds for San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's)

2026-03-22

About This Market

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San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's) — Women's College Basketball game scheduled for 2026-03-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

San Francisco Dons leads the “San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's)” event at 25.8% implied probability, followed by Montana State Bobcats at 74.3%. A 49.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
SF
San Francisco DonsARB
26% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket51¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
51.0%51¢51¢50¢50¢
MS
Montana State BobcatsARB
75% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
99.5%99¢100¢0¢1¢
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%50¢50¢51¢51¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's)" and why does it matter?

San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Francisco Dons leads at 26% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Montana State Bobcats at 74%.

What is moving the odds on "San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's)"?

San Francisco Dons currently leads at 26% implied probability. Behind San Francisco Dons, Montana State Bobcats at 74% are the next closest contenders. The 49.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's)" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Francisco Dons: 1¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Montana State Bobcats: 99¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that San Francisco Dons is at 26%?

A price of 26¢ means the market estimates a 26% probability that San Francisco Dons will be the outcome. Buying one share at 26¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 285% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread49.5%

Market Rulebook: San Francisco Dons vs. Montana State Bobcats (Women's)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If San Francisco wins the San Francisco at Montana St. women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the team who wins the San Francisco at Montana St. women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming WBB game, scheduled for March 22 at 4:00 PM ET: If the San Francisco Dons win, the market will resolve to "San Francisco Dons". If the Montana State Bobcats win, the market will resolve to "Montana State Bobcats". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

San Francisco Dons

25.8% avg

No price history available