Live prediction market odds for UMBC Retrievers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd (Women's). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-23
UMBC Retrievers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd (Women's) — Women's College Basketball game scheduled for 2026-03-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Marshall Thundering Herd leads the “UMBC Retrievers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd (Women's)” event at 82.0% implied probability, followed by UMBC Retrievers at 17.0%. A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
UMBC Retrievers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd (Women's) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Marshall Thundering Herd leads at 82% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include UMBC Retrievers at 17%.
Marshall Thundering Herd currently leads at 82% implied probability. Behind Marshall Thundering Herd, UMBC Retrievers at 17% are the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Marshall Thundering Herd: 80¢ on Kalshi, 84¢ on Polymarket. UMBC Retrievers: 18¢ on Kalshi, 16¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ means the market estimates a 82% probability that Marshall Thundering Herd will be the outcome. Buying one share at 82¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 22% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Marshall Thundering Herd
82.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Marshall wins the UMBC at Marshall women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UMBC at Marshall women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 23, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming WBB game, scheduled for March 23 at 6:00 PM ET: If the UMBC Retrievers win, the market will resolve to "UMBC Retrievers". If the Marshall Thundering Herd win, the market will resolve to "Marshall Thundering Herd". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
