Live prediction market odds for UMBC Retrievers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd (Women's). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-23
This market resolved on 2026-03-23. Marshall Thundering Herd was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
UMBC Retrievers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd (Women's) — Women's College Basketball game held on 2026-03-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Marshall Thundering HerdWINNER | 99% | 63% |
UMBC Retrievers | 1% | 38% |
UMBC Retrievers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd (Women's) was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Marshall Thundering Herd led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include UMBC Retrievers at 19%.
Marshall Thundering Herd held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Marshall Thundering Herd, UMBC Retrievers at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 36.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Marshall Thundering Herd: 99¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. UMBC Retrievers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. The 36.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Marshall Thundering Herd would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Marshall Thundering Herd
80.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Marshall wins the UMBC at Marshall women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UMBC at Marshall women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 23, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming WBB game, scheduled for March 23 at 6:00 PM ET: If the UMBC Retrievers win, the market will resolve to "UMBC Retrievers". If the Marshall Thundering Herd win, the market will resolve to "Marshall Thundering Herd". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
