Live prediction market odds for Virginia Cavaliers vs. TCU Horned Frogs (Women's). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-28
This market resolved on 2026-03-28. TCU Horned Frogs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
Virginia Cavaliers vs. TCU Horned Frogs (Women's) — Women's College Basketball game held on 2026-03-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TCU Horned FrogsWINNER | 99% | 79% |
Virginia Cavaliers | 1% | 22% |
Virginia Cavaliers vs. TCU Horned Frogs (Women's) was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TCU Horned Frogs led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Virginia Cavaliers at 11%.
TCU Horned Frogs held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TCU Horned Frogs, Virginia Cavaliers at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 20.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TCU Horned Frogs: 99¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket. Virginia Cavaliers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. The 20.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that TCU Horned Frogs would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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TCU Horned Frogs
88.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf TCU wins the Virginia at TCU women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Virginia at TCU women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming WBB game, scheduled for March 28 at 7:30 PM ET: If the Virginia Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Virginia Cavaliers". If the TCU Horned Frogs win, the market will resolve to "TCU Horned Frogs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
