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Live prediction market odds for What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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Kalshi

What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?

2029-01-20

About This Market

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Prediction markets on Kalshi are tracking the potential designation of the 51st state during Trump's term. This event holds implications for political representation and statehood debates, particularly concerning territories like Puerto Rico and Washington D.C.

Venezuela leads the “What will be the 51st state in Trump's term” event at 5.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Cuba (5.0%), Puerto Rico (4.8%), Canada (4.0%), and Greenland (3.4%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
V
Venezuela
5% Avg
Kalshi6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
5.0%4¢6¢94¢96¢
C
Cuba
4% Avg
Kalshi5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
4.0%3¢5¢95¢97¢
PR
Puerto Rico
4% Avg
Kalshi5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
4.0%3¢5¢95¢97¢
C
Canada
3% Avg
Kalshi4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
3.0%2¢4¢96¢98¢
G
Greenland
2% Avg
Kalshi3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%1¢3¢97¢99¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence predictions for the 51st state?

Factors include political movements advocating for statehood, public opinion, and legislative actions. Economic conditions and demographic changes in territories also play a role.

How does the process of statehood work in the U.S.?

The process requires congressional approval, where a territory must petition for statehood and demonstrate readiness. This involves meeting specific criteria, including population and governance standards.

What territories are commonly discussed as potential states?

Puerto Rico and Washington D.C. are the most frequently mentioned candidates for statehood. Other territories like Guam and American Samoa also have advocates for statehood.

What is "What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?" and why does it matter?

What will be the 51st state in Trump's term is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Venezuela leads at 6% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Cuba at 5%, Puerto Rico at 5%, Canada at 4%.

What is moving the odds on "What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?"?

Venezuela currently leads at 6% implied probability. Behind Venezuela, Cuba at 5% and Puerto Rico at 5% and Canada at 4% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates6
Volume$1.0M
Leader

Venezuela

5.8% avg

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