About This Market
SharePrediction markets on Kalshi are tracking the potential designation of the 51st state during Trump's term. This event holds implications for political representation and statehood debates, particularly concerning territories like Puerto Rico and Washington D.C.
Cuba leads the “What will be the 51st state in Trump's term” event at 5.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Venezuela (4.6%), Greenland (2.9%), Canada (2.2%), and Puerto Rico (1.3%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.