Live prediction market odds for What will General Mills say during their next earnings call?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-01
Headwind is priced at 65.8% implied probability for the “What will General Mills say during their next earnings call” event. A 32.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
What will General Mills say during their next earnings call is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Headwind leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Headwind currently leads at 66% implied probability. The 32.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Headwind: 82¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 32.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 66¢ means the market estimates a 66% probability that Headwind will be the outcome. Buying one share at 66¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 52% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Headwind
65.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Headwind is said by any General Mills, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next General Mills, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Video of the General Mills, Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the General Mills, Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.
