Live prediction market odds for What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Opinion and Predict.fun.
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Polymarket / Opinion / Predict.fun
2026-06-30T17:30:00+00:00
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
↑ $5,500 leads the “What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June” event at 25.2% implied probability. Other contenders include ↓ $4,200 (15.8%), ↑ $5,700 (7.9%), ↑ $6,000 (11.7%), and ↑ $6,200 (6.1%). A 49.9% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Polymarket, Opinion, Predict.fun). ↑ $5,500 leads at 25% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include ↓ $4,200 at 22%, ↑ $5,700 at 16%, ↑ $6,000 at 7%.
↑ $5,500 currently leads at 25% implied probability. Behind ↑ $5,500, ↓ $4,200 at 22% and ↑ $5,700 at 16% and ↑ $6,000 at 7% are the next closest contenders. The 49.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Opinion, Predict.fun: ↑ $5,500: 26¢ on Polymarket. ↓ $4,200: 22¢ on Polymarket. ↑ $5,700: 16¢ on Polymarket. ↑ $6,000: 7¢ on Polymarket. The 49.9% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 25¢ means the market estimates a 25% probability that ↑ $5,500 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 25¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 300% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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↑ $5,500
25.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Opinion and Predict.fun.
OpinionThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Predict.fun{'description': 'This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".\n\nFor CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME\'s designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract\'s First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.\n\nOnly the Active Month\'s official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME\'s methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.\n\nCreated At: 2026-03-12T13:26:44.642601006Z'}
